Quote:
Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed
And here's one of the disadvantages of Sportsclubstats, it currently shows the Flames as "out" despite it still being possible for the Flames to make the playoffs.
I suppose that not even one of sportsclubstats' 2,000,000,000+ simulation had the Flames winning out + Detroit losing out + Columbus losing out + Dallas losing out other than the game they play against Detroit + Phoenix not going 3-3-0 or better + Edmonton not running the table.
Putting aside Phoenix and Edmonton for now, that's just 21 games that MUST be won by a specific team. 1/(2^21) = 1/2,097,152. Of course, Each of those teams that cannot win a game also cannot take more than 1 game to OT, which further decreases the odds, plus one has to factor in Phoenix and Edmonton back into a theoretical calculation.
sportsclubstats appears to run about 2 billion season simulations for each team now. 2^31 is about 2 billion, and since Sportsclubstats has no instances of the Flames making the playoffs, I would have to suggest that the Flames chances of making the playoffs are worse than 1/(2^31), or a 1 in 2 billion chance, by 50/50 random results for each game.
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Actually, they are right and there is no chance for the Flames to make the playoffs.
The Flames can still get to 48 pts and the Wings and BJs still only have 47. They do not play each other.
However, both of them play Dallas. Since both of them have to lose all of their games for the Flames to pass them, that would mean that Dallas would have to win both those games, giving them 49 points and still eliminating the Flames.
The Flames are already eliminated.