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Old 04-16-2013, 11:05 AM   #1178
Table 5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StrykerSteve View Post
If they don't win the lottery, they're likely to be bumped down a notch, and I don't want them picking 4th. It's top 3 or bust at this stage of the game.
While true, do also remember that the lower down we finish in terms of draft order (ie, more points), the lower the chance that we get bumped down because of the lottery.

If you are 1st (ie. 30th place team), you have a 75% of being bumped. If you're 4th however, there's only a 31.3% chance we get bumped. If we are 6th, it's 17%. So while of course we always want to rank as high as possible even if getting bumped is higher, at least we don't have to worry about that as much the more we fall.
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