Quote:
Originally Posted by Nehkara
While an election campaign (not to mention the next 30 months before an election) is likely to change the dynamics significantly, at the moment it almost looks like this could become an even three-way race, and I would think almost certainly a minority government.
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I know it's a long ways away, but I honestly can't see any way where the conservatives retain a majority in 2015.
There are just too many factors against them coming up. As much as people either love/hate Trudeau, he is an amazing personality in comparison to grumpy Muclair and robotic Harper. And Canadians, like many other voters, will lean towards personality over substance, especially when a sitting government starts to look stale. Factor in that wildcard and also the fact that the Conservatives will have been in power for close to ten years, the ebb and flow of federal politics says that too many issues will start to catch-up to them.
2015 is going to be a fascinating election year.