Quote:
Originally Posted by Cole436
Prospects surprise all the time. And first rounders bust all the time. From 2003-2009 here's the number of impact players that have come out of the third round and later.
Kris Letang
Jonathan Quick
Cody Franson
Keith Yandle
Darren Helm
Alex Edler
Johan Franzen
Mikael Grabovski
Kris Versteeg
Pekke Rinne
Mark Streit
Alex Picard
Kyle Quincey
Mark Methot
Tobias Ernstrom
Dustin Byfuglien
Steve Mason
Brad Marchand
Cal Clutterbuck
James Reimer
Jamie Benn
Carl Gunnarsson
Adam Henrique
Braden Holtby
T.J. Brodie
Andres Lindback
Codie Eakin
Marcus Foligno
Roman Horak
Here's a list of first round, top 15 busts from those same years.
Cam Barker
Robert Nilsson
Lauri Tukonen
A.J Thelsen
Marek Zagrapan
Sasha Pokulok
Riku Helenius
Jiri Tlusty
Alex Plante
Kyle Beach
Colten Teubert
Zach Boychuk
Scott Glennie
Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson
Al Montoya
Boris Valabik
James Sheppard
Gilbert Brule
Brian Lee
Thomas Hickey
Zach Hamill
Nikita Filatov
Josh Bailey
Hasn't changed. Yes, European scouting has become much better, so the Red Wings can't pull out their European talent, but player scouting never has been a science. Outside of the top 5, it almost has always been a crap shoot.
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Sorry to nitpick and I completely agree with your point, but I would argue that Tlusty hasn't been a bust, he has 19 goals and 29 points this season already and would be leading the Flames in scoring. With our drafting record, I would be happy if we can find a player like him in the middle of the 1st round...