Naw BC has a solid 40% of the poplation who vote NDP every time, its not a protest vote. The 40-50% of the population who are Libs and Cons usually band together because its the only way they keep power as they are both individually much small groups provincially. Thats the BC Liberal party, neither truly Liberal nor Conservative and they've been very sucessful.
This election, a combo of poor leadership by Campbell at the end and Clark's poor performance with some redneck Conservative guy breaking ranks and starting a new party which has taken 8-10% of the "free enterprise coalition" vote has reduced the BC Liberal base to high 20 percent.
The NDP are a big unknown, they appear to be trying a platform similar to Mulcair, moving towards the centre and appealing to moderates. There's some suspicion of this (at least from my point of view) as almost all of their largest donations came from unions (there is a public database of election donations in bc) who they may end up beholden to.
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