Quote:
Originally Posted by Phanuthier
Maybe. But if history means everything, lets look at our top 10 picks... Rico Fata, Daniel Tkaczuk, Dion Phaneuf, Eric Nystrom, and if you want to include 11th overall, Oleg Saprykin. Thats 3 (4) forwards and 1 defenseman. How are we doing there?
As for Seth Jones BPA... if MacKinnon/Druoin are better players, by all means, go with them. If Seth Jones is BPA, go with him. Thats all I'm saying, go BPA. The Flames have always said they go BPA, every other scout and GM always say they go BPA. Its a little weird seeing that people here are saying to draft by position rather then BPA. We have no idea what our team's needs are in 3 years, nor does anyone else... so thus, BPA.
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Top 5 picks are much more likely to be impact players and the Flames previous drafting team was a horrible anomaly so not really a fair comparison, but I can see why you're jaded. I'm 33 and old enough to remember the young guns era, but wasn't nearly as invested in hockey at the time, so I'm less pessimistic.
I see your point about BPA, but you have to quantify BPA. Is it biggest impact on their team? Most likely to make an impact on their future team? Most likely to reach their projection? Best in their position? I do agree you don't draft based on the teams positional need, rather that if somewhat equal options are available, the center is always more likely to pan out, so pick the center.
BPA is not easily quantifiable. What if a goalie was the BPA? I think if you're going to quantify it you have to include position . A center has defensive responsibilities and is also key in puck possession. Defence is equally important, but the difference in the job for a defencemen in the CHL and the NHL is much different than a center. Therefore, in my mind, a center being good is much more likely to be reflective of their play later on.
Having said all that you would think the ISS would take that into account when predicting draft order and if Jone is that much better, then fine, draft Jones. I just don't want to see them mess up