Quote:
Originally Posted by Phanuthier
Maybe that could happen. Or maybe Seth Jones could be the next Chris Pronger and McKinnon the next Alex Daigle? History doesn't mean jack squat... always take BPA.
For those saying developing forwards is easier then D, I'd say the Flames have pumped out far more quality d-man then forwards (Phaneuf, Giordano, Montador, TJ Brodie ... and Regehr, Leopold who weren't drafted but developed by the Flames). If you compare to forwards, the best we have to show is (David Moss, Backlund, Prust, Lombardi, Nystrom)...
|
The point we are making is that Seth Jones may not be the BPA. History means everything. The Draft is essentially a gamble. Why wouldn't you want the best odds of winning it? I checked the top 5 picks in every draft since 2000. In total 19 defencemen chosen out of 60 picks.
Here's the list:
2012
2) Ryan Murray
4) Griffen Reinhart
5) Morgan Reilly
2011
4) Adam Larssen
2010
3) Erik Gudbranson
2009
2) Hedman
2008
2) Drew Doughty
3) Zachary Bagosian
4) Alex Pietrangelo
5) Luke Schenn
2007
4) Thomas Hickey
5) Karl Alzner
2006
1) Erik Johnson
2005
3) Jack Johnson
2004
3) Cam Barker
2003
None
2002
3) Jay Bouwmeester
4) Joni Pitkanen
5) Ryan Whitney
2001
None
2000
4) Rostislav Klesla
Some prettygood Dmen in there, but the only franchise payer I see there is Doughty, maybe Pietrangelo. Them ain't good odds (1/19).
Caveats:
1) I don't follow drafts much and really don't know much how hyped these guys were compared to Jones
2) only one of these picks was a first overall, so there are some issues with regards to comparisons
I will attempt to do the same for fowards.