Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinordi
Previous outcomes do not affect future odds
If Jones is projected to be a #1 D then the fact that other projected #1 Ds busted does not influence the odds that Jones reaches his ceiling. That is unless there is some systemic bias that undermines the odds making of #1 D prospects and scouting.
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That's precisely what I'm saying. Top ranked d are much riskier to project than forwards if history is any indicator