Remember the new lottery system. No one is going to make a deal until the lottery is set up. Everyone wants this drive to 30, but really as long as they finish 1-4 they will assure themselves a shot at a top Center.
Quote:
The likelihood of each team gaining the right to the first pick is as follows:
Team 1 25.0%
Team 2 18.8%
Team 3 14.2%
Team 4 10.7%
Team 5 8.1%
Team 6 6.2%
Team 7 4.7%
Team 8 3.6%
Team 9 2.7%
Team 10 2.1%
Team 11 1.5%
Team 12 1.1%
Team 13 0.8%
Team 14 0.5%
No club will move down more than one position as a result of the Draft Lottery. The remaining first round drafting positions are determined by the results of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
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Finishing dead last only gives you a 1/4 chance of getting the first pick... so honestly 1 or 2 doesnt matter much as either will leave you in the top 3. Ending up in 5th and getting pushed to 6th would be a bad outcome i think (23.2% chance).