Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
I couldn't care less if you disagree. I have looked through the data several times and that is a trend that I see. If you want to look and see what your analysis finds, go ahead.
As for 2003, any team that had a lot of picks that year would likely do well. But that is cherry-picking. Look at it year by year. There is usually a team pretty much every year that has several extra picks. It usually reults in very little for them.
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Can you give us any bit of evidence that teams change their drafting philosophy based on the amount of picks they have? That's the first step in your argument long before you should be analyzing the actual draft picks.
Florida's obviously spending a lot of time looking at the top 5 picks, it makes sense as their in the basement. But, especially this year, a winning streak to end the season could push them right out of lottery pick territory so they need to do their due diligence on all the conceivable first rounders really. So if Florida acquired a mid 1st tomorrow, I doubt they their scouting staff makes any special arrangement. If the team they acquired the 1st from happens to win the Cup, no sweat they're already looking at all the players who could fall down to that 31st pick anyways.
Which brings me to my second point, teams don't even know where they are going to draft. The King's were fighting for a playoff spot all season last year, the CHL regular season ended before the King's had secured a spot in the NHL playoffs. Could you imagine the Kings management face if they asked who they should be drafting with that 30th pick and the scouting staff responded with an "oh sorry, thought you might be picking around the 15th, all our guys are taken." That's not how it works, they're making a big list with a ton of names on them. Doesn't matter if the team has 1 pick in the 5th round or 7, they'll just go through the list and pick the best ones available (usually, team needs aside).