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					Originally Posted by  edslunch
					 
				 
				What's the safer bet? A good young player or a pick somewhere between 1 (seemed unlikely at the time) and 15? Honestly the safer bet would be ROR. Any pick is a gamble, though obviously the higher the pick the less the gamble.  
 
I would predict that if our first round pick follows RORs trajectory most of us would be pleased. Who was the last Flames pick to that? 
			
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ROR falls into the Flame's big mistake.   They always seem to over pay.    Starting next year ROR at 6.5M  and the qualifying RFA offer of over 7M he will be getting paid more than Toews, Seguin, Lucic, Benn , Carter, or Mike Richards for the next 3 or 4 years.
He is definitely not at their level and may never get there.
That is the same mistake as paying Bouwmeester top 5 in the league defensemen money and getting 25-35 performance for it.
The first round pick will be getting around 3M for the next 3 years.....   only if he is good enough to step straight into the NHL as a 18 year old.