Quote:
Originally Posted by moon
Main point is that the concept of ceiling is pretty much BS.
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Nope it isn't. There are some guys like Manny Malhotra in his draft year that didn't have a high ceiling. He was projected as a great 3rd line centre. His top end would have been a 2nd liner if he had exceeded expectations. And yet he was taken top 10. Another example is Eric Nystrom. He was seen a having an upside of being an elite 3rd liner. That isn't a high "ceiling".
A guy like Semin on the other hand had a higher ceiling because of his skill but may have been seen as riskier because of size/defensive play/russian factor. Smaller guys like Giroux and Pierre Marc-Bouchard had high ceilings due to skill but their size was a question mark. One achieved his high ceiling.
Ceiling and likelihood of turning out are not BS concepts. Not sure why you are trying to dismiss one.
Jankowski has a high ceiling because he has the skill/skating/size to be a 1st line centre. Whether he will fulfill that is yet to be seen. But he certainly has a higher "ceiling" than a guy like Bill Arnold no? He has a higher "ceiling" than a guy like Lance Bouma no?
Pretty easy concept to grasp. Not sure why you are trying to go all Moon on it and denying its existence.