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Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
Its two fold, I agree, however I tend to think that if the bubble dropped that South Korea would want nothing more then a regime change in the North.
The problem is that South Korea would not necessarily want to feed those people and they would have a flood into China of the ideologically seduced North Koreas.
One of the big scandals right now is that China is doing more to discourage refugees from staying in China and actively sending them back to the loving arms of the Gulag system in the North.
I'm pretty sure that China would effectively close their borders to the North if the regime collapsed.
Having a reunited Korea with American backing on their borders would be unacceptable to China.
in terms of Naval presence a South run North would give American's visitation and basing rights on the North end of the Sea of Japan which could put a lot of American naval pressure on the Chinese naval operating in the Tauwan straits. and other resource areas.
Chna's single aircraft carrier and sub fleets would no longer be the undisputed masters of that world.
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You seem to be well educated on this subject..What do you think the odds are that these two countries go to war?