Quote:
Originally Posted by Mean Mr. Mustard
His odds would remain the same regardless of any of those facts though would they not? He doesn't stand a better chance now relative to two days ago.
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The odds were 1:28M a couple days ago. Now we know for a fact that someone won in Calgary. Say there were 30M sold nationally, and 3M in Alberta. He bought one of those tickets. There are 3M in AB so he has 1:3M chance of owning the winning ticket. Let's eliminate 2M tickets in AB that were sold because they weren't in Calgary. So he now has a 1:1M chance. He knows 25 people who all bought four tickets. So you can eliminate 100 tickets. His odds are now 1:999,900.
That's the way I interpret it at least.