[Psytic]

Originally Posted by kirant

That list is somewhat skewed, as 23-26 year old goalies are hardly starter material.

If we correct for that, we get:
DiPietro, Krahn, Leclaire, Blackburn, Bacashihua, Munro, Lehtonen, Ward, Toivonen, Fleury, Montoya, Dubnyk, Schwarz, Schneider

And if we split this by draft spot, we get:
Top 5: Dipietro, Lehtonen, Fleury
5-10: Krahn, Leclaire, Blackburn, Montoya
11-20: Schwarz, Dubnyk
21-30: Bacashihua, Foster, Ward, Toivonen, Schneider

So out of 14 players, we have 3 goaltenders who bowed out from injury (insignificant results), 3 career backups/journeymen, 4 late round busts, and 4 starters.

The detail I see is how risky the top 10 goalies are as skaters are much more stable in stock. Drafting goalies late 1st seems to be a gamble, but good payoff for input with approximate chance of becoming a legitimate NHLer only slightly higher than the skaters in that range. I wouldn't say don't draft goalies in the first period, but if you want to go all in, goalies in the bottom 15 or 20 are a reasonable venture.

Someone on Hfboards did something like this with dman drafted in the top 5 going back to JBo and came to the same conclusion that its not worth drafting dman high either compared to forwards. Some of the names were Jbo, Barker, E. Johnson and J. Johnson. I think it was an argument against taking Seth Jones over guys like Mckinnon and Drouin.