Originally Posted by kirant
That list is somewhat skewed, as 23-26 year old goalies are hardly starter material.
If we correct for that, we get:
DiPietro, Krahn, Leclaire, Blackburn, Bacashihua, Munro, Lehtonen, Ward, Toivonen, Fleury, Montoya, Dubnyk, Schwarz, Schneider
And if we split this by draft spot, we get:
Top 5: Dipietro, Lehtonen, Fleury
5-10: Krahn, Leclaire, Blackburn, Montoya
11-20: Schwarz, Dubnyk
21-30: Bacashihua, Foster, Ward, Toivonen, Schneider
So out of 14 players, we have 3 goaltenders who bowed out from injury (insignificant results), 3 career backups/journeymen, 4 late round busts, and 4 starters.
The detail I see is how risky the top 10 goalies are as skaters are much more stable in stock. Drafting goalies late 1st seems to be a gamble, but good payoff for input with approximate chance of becoming a legitimate NHLer only slightly higher than the skaters in that range. I wouldn't say don't draft goalies in the first period, but if you want to go all in, goalies in the bottom 15 or 20 are a reasonable venture.
|