Quote:
Originally Posted by Matty81
The chances of trading down get lower the higher up the board you go, as the (perceived) scarcity of the truly elite prospects is way greater than landing an A- prospect or a project.
Based on the reading I've done and the few times I've gotten to watch them (Jones a little more), MacKinnon and Jones are the top of the class, 1A and 1B. If you get a top two pick you don't trade out of the top two but you maybe can feel out the other team.
Barkov and Drouin are the next two, and same thing goes, don't go lower than 4th but trade the 3rd for 4th pick maybe if you really think the other team will let your guy slip, they are close in terms of reputation and value but a big drop off again afterwards.
And with these being all 17 year old kids with a couple months to play, picture could change a little, but it's more likely now that there is a riser than any of those guys drop really far.
Monahan, Lindholm, Shinkaruk and maybe 2 or 3 others are all in that next grouping of very good prospects who could be stars but not absolutely sure fire top 6 forwards. Most teams wouldn't trade, say, Monahan for MacKinnon at all so you'd really need to be blown away.
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Agreed.
1-2 are untouchable, franchise players either way and you can't trade those picks.
3-4 is a small step down but still elite prospects.
5-8ish is another step down but better than most years for this spot in the draft (and quite a bit better than some years)
after about 8 or 10, there are still lots of solid prospects, but another step down. All 1st round picks this year are valuable (more so than most years), but the lottery picks this year are way more valuable than during an average year.
(all my opinion of course)