Thread: Playoff Chances
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Old 01-23-2013, 02:56 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mister Yamoto View Post
Wow. I clearly do not understand complex math formulas. I don't see how 0-2 gives you a 30.7% chance.
I believe it's on trends & tendencies. Start of the season everyone's 50/50 (even odds), Flames have lowered that tendency/likelihood of a win with 2 losses thus far... 2 losses doesn't mean they're likely to go 0-48. The system is also built on only needing to do better than 7 other teams. Right now, there are a few winless teams, a few that are 1-1, etc... It just means they're 30.7% likely (right now) to pass 7 other teams to get a playoff spot.
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