Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
I think it'd be a little more than that. In my opinion ES sv% is generally the best indicator of a goalie's effect and Luongo has been markedly better than Fleury over recent years:
11-12: +.006,
10-11: +.009
09-10: +.017
08-09: +.014
So he's been about .014 better which in a starter's workload translates to 20 fewer GA over a season. That's not an inconsiderable difference in goal differential. It's like having a 20 goal scorer on your 1st line compared to a 40 goal scorer.
Their playoff numbers in that span are even more disparate, with Luongo having a 22 point advantage over Fleury in ES sv% in what is a fairly large sample for each goalie. In a 4 round cup run, that's 12-13 GA fewer for Luongo. Again, that's not something to just write off.
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Are you using the goalies Save Percentage or the team save percentage? N
I get:
11-12: +.006
10-11: +.010
09-10: +.008
08-09: +.008
You can't use the team save percentage. Especially since Schneider has been one of the top backups in the league the last couple seasons.
EDIT: Just saw you are using EV save percentage.