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Old 01-22-2013, 04:39 PM   #81
opendoor
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
Luongo would provide around a .08 Save Percentage boost to the Penguins in the regular season. I am not sure that improvement is worth the contract that would be coming to the Penguins in return.

Especially considering you would still have the same worries about your goalie come playoff time.
I think it'd be a little more than that. In my opinion ES sv% is generally the best indicator of a goalie's effect and Luongo has been markedly better than Fleury over recent years:

11-12: +.014,
10-11: +.009
09-10: +.017
08-09: +.014

So he's been about .014 better which in a starter's workload translates to 20 fewer GA over a season. That's not an inconsiderable difference in goal differential. It's like having a 20 goal scorer on your 1st line compared to a 40 goal scorer.

Their playoff numbers in that span are even more disparate, with Luongo having a 22 point advantage over Fleury in ES sv% in what is a fairly large sample for each goalie. In a 4 round cup run, that's 12-13 GA fewer for Luongo. Again, that's not something to just write off.
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