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Old 11-27-2012, 09:40 AM   #233
Senator Clay Davis
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Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AR_Six View Post
To be fair the Libs do have a ceiling of about 10 seats in BC where their ceiling in Alberta is maybe 1, if you're being generous to them.

Still crazy to think the NDP could, in any world, form a government if someone called an election tomorrow. Funny he brings up Mitt Romney because his basis for that assertion is roughly equivalent to calling the US election a coin toss because Mitt was within the margin of error in polls leading up to the election in terms of national popular vote.
But as evidence from the polling, its not so insane. This obviously has more to do with the poor state of the Liberals, as once the poll asks with Trudeau as nominee, NDP support slips into the low 20's. Obviously their support is somewhat aritificially inflated by the soft Liberal supporters they have. But right now, they could do it, crazy or not.

And thats why there's a margin of error. Error happens in polling (sampling size too low, not broad enough etc..). Like a certain provincial election that may have just taken place in April...
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