Quote:
Originally Posted by Rerun
What is your explanation of the polling during the last provincial election?
The polls were definitely flawed there. Would we have had a different result if the WRA wasn't deemed to be the front runner in the polls? Perhaps.
Would we have had a different result if the polling numbers actually reflected the actual election results? Perhaps.
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The polls were not flawed, they clearly showed that the WRP was in the lead. A lead which they lost because a whole bunch of moderate Albertans were scared (rightfully or not) about electing a party which seemed to be running a disproportionate number of 'displeasing' candidates.
You are 100% right that those poll results likely gave the PC party a larger majority than they deserved, because a rather large number of people in the province decided to vote strategically, to avoid the potential issues of electing the type of party that had these candidates.
This wasn't a polling problem, it was a problem with the WRP managing its image at the most critical part of the campaign.