Quote:
Originally Posted by mariners_fever
I think it could easily be argued that the poll you've bolded matches Nenshi's upward trend and falls in line with how the last two weeks unfolded.
|
Agreed--it's not at all out of the realm of possibility that Nenshi was well behind had the election been held Oct. 5th.
Similarly, the trend right now is that Turner has plateaued. We've now seen three polls showing similar results, and this one appears to have him receding slightly.
Honestly there is only one person who got good news in that poll: Joan Crockatt. Both Locke and Turner appear to have hit a ceiling, and she is holding relatively steady. 37% should be more than enough to win barring a last-minute surge of strategic voting among current Turner supporters.
There are only a few days left. Locke commented on his facebook page that he's "within the Margin of Error," but that is a pretty optimistic take on that poll, since he's down by 5 and the MOE is 4.8%.