Quote:
Originally Posted by Bunk
Today's Power and Politics Evan Solomon mentioned a poll from a "national consulting firm" that was sent to him that said: CPC at 29.9%, the Liberals at 28.6%, the Greens at 21%, 16% undecided and the NDP at 4%
I assume this is one of the party's internal polls he got his hands on.
Thoughts?
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My thought is that the 16% undecided is a very bad sign for Crockatt. A portion of the undecided vote is likely waiting to see who the best strategic choice will be. Depending on the sample size, she is basically tied with Locke--1.3% might be a matter of just a couple of votes. If undecideds break for the strongest challenger, she's in trouble. (of course, one other possibility is that "undecided" voters are less engaged, and less likely to vote)
This poll would also be bad news for Chris Turner--my feeling is that the moment that poll is published the 16% flocks quickly into the Locke and Crockatt camps, favouring Locke by a significant margin.
On the other hand, those are all within the MOE of the Forum Research numbers. So I guess if you're Turner you take heart in that.