Quote:
Originally Posted by jtfrogger
Do you really think declaring earlier would make any difference? Given the polls, I can not see how either Locke or Turner would have possibly pulled out of the race two weeks ago. Locke had 2nd, Turner had momentum and was up to 23%. You do not go that far in a campaign to pull out that early from either position.
The only one that could possibly drop out is Meades. He could play kingmaker. If he supported either candidate publicly, that would sway a lot of votes. I'd even consider changing my vote to Locke if Meades supported him. This could be done today. It could even be done on Friday. Yes, you miss the advance polls, but that is the only significant downside of waiting. You gain the chance to pick up more polling information, which would include 1CC. When you factor that Turner & Locke were only 5% apart in the last poll (which is the margin of error), poll results from this week will be interesting.
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I imagine there's larger institutional priorities for the NDP besides seeing a Conservative defeat in Calgary centre. Their national party interests are not in conceding a race to defeat the Conservatives. Gives the Cons alot of ammo at the national level to paint them as a power over all party.