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LOL. Our Nate Silver? How did Grenier fare during the last federal campaign or provincial campaign here in Alberta? He wasn't close.
I read Grenier all the time, and its a nice place to see what the polls themselves are showing and such, but he hasn't been close when it comes to predicting anything. I know that you're a Turner guy and you want to read this poll like it somehow shows him as on the road to winning, but be realistic about this.
Frankly speaking I still find it hard to believe that so many people are jumping on the bandwagon for a party that has explicitly said it will halt any oil sands expansion as though that was just no big deal. At the same time there is Dan Meades in the single digits, largely for that same kind of sentiment. I suppose that gives you a good reason why his literature doesn't say that he is running for the Greens though....its somewhat disingenuous.
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Jeez louise, pipe down.
Grenier is as close as you get to a Canadian Nate Silver. Not saying that he's perfect or anything, just that he's an avid Canadian poll watcher.
I'm also not getting into some partisan debate with you, just reporting on the developments in the race. Sure I'd like to see Turner win, that doesn't make me treasonous.