Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
The subsections of that poll are nearly meaningless to base anything on. Out of 374 they found 22 people who didn't vote last time and 15 said they're voting for Locke. Will they show up? I don't know. Lets be honest though, to extrapolate that percentage to the entire riding would be foolish.
Its borderline whether the poll is even accurate. It could well be that Crockatt is sitting at 40%, Turner at 20% and Harvey somewhere in between. That's for the most accurate part of the poll! Once you get down to these little sub-samples where the sample size is less than 30 you have many more sample errors and variances in general.
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This is all true but it's all we have to go with. So it's either you disregard all of the findings or you try to interpret them however flawed. You chose the former I chose the latter.