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Originally Posted by c.t.ner
I agree that tweet does come off as overtly supportive of Turner. Brian (who is a pollster) will have a further breakdown of numbers later today, which I think may clarify that tweet a bit more. But from what I gander, that tweet was suppose to indicate the change in poll position from October 26th, not just the difference between the November 12th & 18th poll. If you look at those numbers Joan has dropped from 48%-35%, Harvey has gone from 28% to 30% and Turner gone 11%-25%. The Nov. 18th poll really indicates that the 12th poll wasn't an outlier and an off poll.
I agree that unless Meades drops out and pushes his support behind one of Turner or Locke it looks like we'll be at a similar mark by election day, +/- the 5% margin of error.
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It looks like all three of those candidates have basically plateaued to me. Sending out tweets to suggest that the growth is larger for one candidate over a particular period of time is basically just spinning the data to press for one candidate.
You know that I am a supporter of the idea of 1CC, and really want them/you to achieve your goal. At the same time there has always been a perception (at least, whether right or wrong) that this group has been influenced and pushed by the Turner campaign. In this particular case we are a week out, with a progressive candidate who is within the statistical margin of error. That
should be a slam dunk for 1CC to consider. Honestly, the point is to win. Nothing against Turner, but he's 10 points out by this poll, regardless of where the candidates began. He needs growth of his support by nearly 50% to have a chance.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Table 5
There's an over-coiffed idiot in Ward 8 that could also use some competition.
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lol at the "over-coiffed". Thats awesome!!