Quote:
Originally Posted by jtfrogger
1 Calgary Centre is spinning this poll as positive for Turner.
1CC seems overly supportive of Turner. These results are too close to the previous polls to be considered too different given the margin of error. Saying Harvey is at his ceiling is a big stretch.
|
I agree that tweet does come off as overtly supportive of Turner. Brian (who is a pollster) will have a further breakdown of numbers later today, which I think may clarify that tweet a bit more. But from what I gander, that tweet was suppose to indicate the change in poll position from October 26th, not just the difference between the November 12th & 18th poll. If you look at those numbers Joan has dropped from 48%-35%, Harvey has gone from 28% to 30% and Turner gone 11%-25%. The Nov. 18th poll really indicates that the 12th poll wasn't an outlier and an off poll.
I agree that unless Meades drops out and pushes his support behind one of Turner or Locke it looks like we'll be at a similar mark by election day, +/- the 5% margin of error.