View Single Post
Old 11-18-2012, 11:17 PM   #147
jtfrogger
Powerplay Quarterback
 
jtfrogger's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Calgary, AB
Exp:
Default

1 Calgary Centre is spinning this poll as positive for Turner.
Quote:
Poll Analysis: Harvey - no growth/at ceiling. Joan - at floor & hanging around. Chris - only 1 with stat sig growth since Oct 26 #YYCCentre
1CC seems overly supportive of Turner. These results are too close to the previous polls to be considered too different given the margin of error. Saying Harvey is at his ceiling is a big stretch.

I really think that 1CC will have no meaningful impact in this election. They have 749 likes on Facebook and 449 followers on Twitter. Even if these are all distinct people and they all vote with their recommendation it is only 1200 votes. In reality, anyone following the election closely would be following them even if they are not in the riding or are partisan enough to vote and some people would be following on both.

The only thing that would have a material chance at uniting the "progressive" vote would be if Meades pulled out and supported either Locke or Turner. The other two are in it to the end.

If the Liberals would have nominated a stronger candidate such as Bronconnier or Nkemdirim, they would likely be leading in the polls by now.
jtfrogger is offline   Reply With Quote