The hardcore Liberal vote in Calgary Centre is around 10% (worst ever was 9.8%, in 2000 when Joe Clark won and all the typical Liberal voters went PC) so Harvey Locke could win it unless a lot of typical Liberal voters are persuaded to vote for Turner by groups like 1Calgarycentre. I could see Crockatt squeaking by with 33% of the vote. That was the one reason why I didn't immediately hang up upon getting the automated polling call yesterday on my cell (like I did the 6 previous times in the last 3 weeks both at home and on my cell), I decided it was better to say what my voting intentions were.
|