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Old 11-15-2012, 12:55 PM   #68
Slava
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan View Post
Of course, that assumes that voters who are now backing Turner would otherwise have voted Liberal. I'm not saying that isn't true, but I think if our theory is that part of what we're seeing is a collapse of "red tory" support in Calgary Center, then some of those voters may have voted Richardson last time and gone straight to Chris Turner without even considering the Liberals.

Just a thought. Not saying that's what's happening (I have no evidence to back that assertion, obviously, and it rests on a mountain of speculation), but it's at least a possibility.
Well ya, that is the assumption and its hard to say without good polling on who your "second choice would be" kind of questions. I would hazard a guess that if the others dropped though that Locke would garner the extra few percentage points pretty quick and same if Locke were to drop.
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