Of course, that assumes that voters who are now backing Turner would otherwise have voted Liberal. I'm not saying that isn't true, but I think if our theory is that part of what we're seeing is a collapse of "red tory" support in Calgary Center, then some of those voters may have voted Richardson last time and gone straight to Chris Turner without even considering the Liberals.
Just a thought. Not saying that's what's happening (I have no evidence to back that assertion, obviously, and it rests on a mountain of speculation), but it's at least a possibility.
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