Quote:
Originally Posted by SebC
The margin of error is what you need to be looking at (which, of course, is derived from sample size). And the margin of error, while bigger than it would be in a higher quality poll, is not all that bad.
FFWD has reported that Crockatt is attending. Must be scared!
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I agree, but in a three-way race, especially where it's possibly close, a 5% MOE is pretty big.
On the other hand, it does show a trend of tightening since their last poll. It also makes me feel like I should wait for one more before deciding whether Locke or Turner gets my vote...
Locke is obviously doing better now--but I feel like Turner's campaign is way more visible. I see more canvassers, more lawn signs, etc. etc. In a byelection, turnout is critical.
Mind you, I see a lot of Crockatt lawn signs in my area too.