Quote:
Originally Posted by Vulcan
The only thing I could add to your post is that Jankowski didn't come from a tier 2 league, he came from tier 3 or 4. His competition was probably equivalent to good American High school or AAA Canadian midget leagues. He's making a huge jump to American college level games, so along with his late birthday, I'd give him more of a break on his PPG average.
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That's true, but there's just so little info from tier-3 and 4 leagues like HS. I went through drafts since 2004 and there was only about 10 forwards selected out of Minnesota HS who I could use to compare to Janko.
Only two of those made the show: Blake Wheeler, who had a long track to the NHL, first playing in the USHL and then four years in college. He scored over 3 points per game in HS though, whereas Janko was just over 1.75 in his draft year.
The other was TJ Oshie. He also scored more than 3 PPG in HS. He went straight to college from there and put up a point-per-game pace as a freshman.
Anyone from this sample who didn't collect at least a 3 PPG pace in Minnesota HS hockey didn't make the NHL.