Quote:
Originally Posted by Metro Gnome
I decided to look into this. Went back to 2002, looked at guys taken from 2nd tier type leagues who then went on to play college hockey. Travis Zajac, Joe Colborne and Kris Chucko are recent examples. There was 40 forwards in total.
What I came away with is we should hope for a 0.7 point-per-game pace from Janko this year and at least 1.0 PPG (or better) next season. Aside from David Jones, every guy who failed to break those thresholds either became a bottom-six checker or failed to make the show at all.
Jankowski is only at 0.44 PPG pace so far this year, but it's way too early to judge him by that number.
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The only thing I could add to your post is that Jankowski didn't come from a tier 2 league, he came from tier 3 or 4. His competition was probably equivalent to good American High school or AAA Canadian midget leagues. He's making a huge jump to American college level games, so along with his late birthday, I'd give him more of a break on his PPG average.