Quote:
Originally Posted by Devils'Advocate
JT will grab a *LOT* - and I mean a *LOT* of support in Quebec and Ontario. Which basically hands the next few elections to the Conservatives. Right now it is dangerous territory for the Conservatives because the NDP have so much support in the East that it could create another minority government situation. However, with Justin Trudeau, it will pull the Liberals up even with the NDP, splintering the centre-left vote.
The federal Liberals without Trudeau would continue to wane in significance and eventually die (or merge with another party the way that the dying Progressive Conservatives did).
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Yeah, my reading of this is exactly the same. The only place Trudeau will have an impact is in Quebec, and heavily urban areas of Ontario, BC, and the Maritimes. Those aren't ridings that the CPC need to win. The last election swung on suburban ontario, and JT doesn't seem to me like he can shift those ridings back red.