Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
There's something scaring me off that Falcons/Chargers game. I don't know.
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They can't be trusted as a road team against a decent opponent. They could win the game but I'm too much of a stats guy to go with them even with points.
Falcons are 11-7(ATS) in their last 18 road games, 2-4(ATS) when they are not the favorite. Teams they have beat at the time of meeting were 31-49 (.388W%) where the teams they lost to were 32-16 (.667W%). Pretty similar numbers when you look at the teams season ending records. Personally I always like Atlanta in the Dome but outside unless they are favorites they are a risky pick.
I've taken Arizona and Jacksonville with the points and also looking at Tampa and Baltimore as well. I'm not very confident in the Thursday night game so I may split it between the spread and over/under. Still undecided which way I'm gonna go with the Monday nighter.