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Old 09-17-2012, 11:33 AM   #20
Kavvy
Self Imposed Exile
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Calgary
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My thoughts, with the understanding I really know nothing about how the Chinese government is really run (aka these are my assumptions):

Does anyone else think this could (very unlikely, if the perfect storm occurred) be the downfall of the current Chinese regime? China doesn’t want to attack Japan; however, Chinese power is partly kept due to fear and nationalism. If the government appears weak to their citizens, in front of the rival Japan, they may have cracks in their power, including military dissidents.

If Japan refuses to back down, this may only leave 2 options, 1, attack any Japanese ship or military in the area of the islands and take the chance the USA respond to their geographically military importance ally, and the possibility of the 3rd world war, or 2, don’t attack and have the possibility of a coup when the people and military demand the weak government step aside, which could attack Japan anyway.

The people are upset, the military is run on nationalism, and they might not have a choice if the heads of state doesn’t want to be refugees in their own nation.
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