Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports
It's really cool that you're looking at things historically.
The "trick" in Week 2 is not to overreact to Week 1 performances on teams you're high on (or the converse of course).
Using that theory, I like Buffalo -3 at home vs. Kansas City. Also liking Seattle +3 vs. Dallas at home. I'm definitely going to go with the latter because I think that's an overreaction line in BOTH directions.
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The Buffalo line definitely is. I don't like the Seattle line. My rule of thumb is that home teams are generally given at least three points on either side of the spread, and I didn't like what I saw from Seattle's offense last week. I still think the under is the best bet there.
The other overreaction line to me is NO -1 but the books seem to really be trying to entice bets on that, and it's not overly surprising since the Panthers gave New Orleans a good game in Charlotte last year.
I do however generally have a rule where I don't take the Saints on the road, which I'm breaking this week