[rubecube]

Final record for week 1 was 2-5 for -3 UNITS (-$30). I'm looking to rebound this week with the books being overly hard on some teams (Saints) and not hard enough on others (Giants). I won't make my bets until Friday, unless the lines start shifting too much, but there are some good value plays such as:

TB +9 - Giants are not a good team. No one believes me. They've been particularly awful at home the last few seasons.

BAL +1 - The Eagles shouldn't be favoured in this game. Andy Reid is 4-9 in home openers since he became head coach, and hasn't won a home opener since 2008. The Eagles DBs match up well with the Ravens WRs, and the defensive line will probably pummel Flacco, but I'm not expecting great things from Mike Vick against the Ravens blitz. The only thing the Eagles have going for them in this one is the fact that the Ravens are not traditionally strong on the road, and this might be a trap game for them.

BUF -3.5 - I'm thinking this drops down to 3 by Friday. The Bills tend to play well at home and against teams not named the Jets.

NO -1 - Last year, this would've been a -6.5 game at least. I'm not letting one stinker against the Redskins convince me into taking a terrible defense like Carolina's. This will likely be my morning play.

OAK -1 - Tannehill is awful. Even worse than Palmer.

DAL/SEA U41.5 - I don't trust Russel Wilson and the Seahawks craptastic Oline to do enough to keep them within 3 of the Cowboys, but I do trust their defense and insane crowd noise to keep Tony Romo from hanging more than 24 on them.

WSH -3 - The Lions made the Rams look a lot better than they are.

SF -6.5 - See above

Admiral Ackbar's IT'S A TRAP! Game of the week:

HOU -9 - This looks like a good bet, because Houston should be able to put at least 10 between them and the Jags, but I don't trust this line. You can buy this line down to 7.5 and still get it for +102. Everyone and their dog is on Houston and the books don't like losing money. This one reeks.