[Rerun]

Quebec's provincial election is in 4 days (Sept 4).

Polls (for whatever they are worth) show that the PQ has a good chance of winning.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/quebec...l-parties.html

Recent opinion polls suggest the Liberals under Jean Charest are in deep trouble with voters, especially francophone Quebecers.

The Parti Québécois, out of power since 2003, is solidly back in the picture under Pauline Marois, with a platform that repeats the party's traditional demands for more powers from Ottawa and a promise to hold another referendum on separation as soon as winning conditions exist.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper has told his cabinet and caucus to stay out of the campaign. That hands-off decree is in stark contrast, for example, to the Alberta provincial election last spring, when a number of federal cabinet ministers openly endorsed the fledgling Wild Rose Party.
Part of the reason is that his party, with just five seats in Quebec, has little organization in the province. And many Conservative policies, such as gun registration and climate change, already run counter to public sentiment. In other words, no sense acting as a lightning rod at the first sound of thunder.

The New Democrats hold most of the federal seats in Quebec. More than half the NDP caucus comes from the province, many of them elected just a year ago with the support of soft nationalists and former Bloc Québécois voters.
That's a key reason NDP Leader Tom Mulcair is in no mood to be the federalist voice in this campaign. He's told his Quebec caucus their only role is to vote — while at the same time urging people to look at the shiny object in the window, his promise to have a Quebec wing of his party in place for the next provincial election.

Even the Liberals are keeping a low profile.
Denis Coderre, MP for the Montreal riding of Bourassa, has been helping some local Liberal candidates in provincial ridings that overlap with his own. But that's it.
He says too many voters remain undecided, making the outcome far from certain, and the mood far too volatile for outside interference to do anything but benefit the Parti Québécois.