I'll reserve judgment until the movies come out. I'm not opposed to 3 movies if it means they'll be shorter - closer to 2 hours rather than over 3 hours. There should be enough natural breaks in the Hobbit story to divide it up, since it's really a fairly episodic story. The other storyline is so condensed in the LotR appendices that it's hard to say how much time they'd need to tell that part. What I wouldn't want to see is the story being dragged out just for the sake of making the extra movie.
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