Quote:
Originally Posted by JiriHrdina
If we are basing projections on shooting percentage whatever decline Hudler has should be made up by with increased goal totals from Comeau
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Because I was bored...
Hudler shoots on average of 1.63 shots/game in the last 4 NHL seasons he's played (in other words stats based on 4 of the last 5 seasons). His shooting % in them is 13.7%. He played an average of 79 games.
Comeau shoots an average of 1.92 times/game in the last 4 NHL seasons and has an average shooting % of 10.4% at an average of 79 games (I had to make a small projection using his AHL game totals here, as he shuffled between Bridgeport and the Islanders a bit).
If Hudler keeps up his pace from last year, he'll score 25 goals. If he returns to his regular pace, he'll score 17.
If Comeau returns to his average pace, he'll score 15. If he keeps up with last year's pace, he'll score 6.
So, if we return to averages, the two SHOULD cancel out. But there's a lot of assumptions in this sort of calculation.