I think you're right, it was Joffrey's wedding, regardless the poisoning happens after the treatment of Tyrion by Joffrey leading up to and during Tyrion and Sansa's wedding really sets up Tyrion being the prime suspect and having to flee. It all just works too well to not have it happen IMO.
Also, I just read through the TV thread and I can't believe how long it took for someone to address Loras/the Tyrell's showing up with Tywin. I think it was too quick of a shot and a lot of people missed it, talking with my Mom last night who has not read the books she had no idea either.
I think you're really starting to see, with people who haven't read the books, the sheer volume of character starting to confuse people.
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