Quote:
Originally Posted by Superfraggle
The thing is that the vast majority of people who do Everest do so once. People who use vehicles do so over and over. So your odds for each in the end are about the same. You are absolutely right that people who drive once are at less risk than people who climb Everest once. But that's not how it works. Nobody drives once in their lifetime and never again.
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I don't think that's how it works. If that's the case, for every 100 times I drive, I have a 2 percent chance of dying. That does not sound right to me. That means each year, there are roughly 6 days that I should be dead. I've had my license for 14 years, or 728 weeks. Lets say I drive on average 5 days a week. That's 3,640 days I drive. 2% of that is 72 days. That means I should have been dead 72 times already. I've been in 2 minor accidents in 14 years.
Edit: Hmm, just rethought your argument again. I guess what you're saying is, in our lifetime, each person stands a 2% chance of dying in a car crash rather than each attempt at 2%. Still, given the amount of times we drive, I don't think it's a very good comparable stat they use.