Quote:
Originally Posted by mykalberta
There are a lot where the PC just barely won and any riding where the Liberals got over 30% last election imo is in play for them as they are highly unlikely to lose votes to the PC or WRA.
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I don't know about that. How many people voted Liberal because they were voting against the PCs last time around, and how many of those have shifted their no-PC vote to the Wildrose this time around?
Also, in the past, a PC majority was a foregone conclusion, which I believe made it easier for a strong non-PC candidate to win a seat because as a voter, you could know that your MLA would be able to bring his own good ideas to the Legislature without worrying about his party holding any real power.
In a tight race, like we have now, I think people are more likely to vote for the party they want to govern rather than the candidate they most want to represent them.
Of course, I'm no expert, so I could be completely wrong.