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Originally Posted by Slava
I think exit polls are illegal.
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Yup. You can't exit poll in Canada.
Quote:
Originally Posted by c.t.ner
It's going to be hard to tell. It really depends on what happens with seat distribution. For example I can see the Wildrose winning some rural seats by 20-30%, but that still only equates to 1 seat. Which would be the same as a 1% win for the PCs or Liberals over the Wildrose. So overall they will without question have the strongest overall percentage of the vote, which will be strengthened by leads in the rural areas, but how that transitions to seats in Edmonton and Calgary will the interesting part.
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Agreed. On the other hand, Wildrose will be not at all competitive in several Edmonton ridings, so it should all equalize. But for the Edmonton reason alone, I think a prediction of 62 seats is remarkably optimistic. We're probably looking at the winning party ending up with 48-53 seats in my view, and I won't put money on which party gets to that total.
Calgary will be the main battleground though, which is not likely to be good news for any Liberal candidates in the city.