Quote:
Originally Posted by Rathji
I don't think so.
The way this election is, no one who is definitely going to vote PC will be swayed by that ad, even if they find it foolish.
No one who is potentially voting Liberal/NDP will be swayed to vote for the Wildrose party, simply based on ideological differences.
No one who certainly is voting Wildrose will change their vote obviously.
So it leaves a small section of undecided voters who are choosing between PC and Wildrose that could potentially be turned off by this. IMHO most voters who would be turned off by this tactic would have been turned off by the fear mongering of the past few weeks, so they are likely to either not vote or vote Wildrose anyway.
I can't see the remaining portion of voters being large enough to swing 40 seats.
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I'd agree with this assessment if the PCs didn't produce that video. Its just foolish to the average PC voter, and laughable to everyone else.
However, if it was proven that the PCs actually made this video, insulting their own membership and history in a last ditch attempt to fearmonger some undecideds, it would be a pretty big news story. Such an event could easily turn the tide in a number of close ridings with PC devotees either staying home, or voting WR. Don't forget, the Federal PCs had 16% of the popular vote when they only won 2 seats.
I highly doubt they did it, the PCs are desperate, not stupid. So its really just what it is... a dumb video attracting attention and likely accomplishing very little. No one needed a bunch of 20 year olds to warn them about parties and candidates.