Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
It really hasn't, actually. Klein peaked at 62% at the polss in 2004, but other than that, Klein (and Stelmach) drew 45-50% in the previous elections back to 1993. Polls right now have the two parties at 80% combined. What's really happened is that the PC shift to the left and the Sherman's shift to the far left has decimated the Liberal base.
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I agree with pretty much all of this. The "civil war" in the PC ranks isn't necessarily a 50%-50% split between the PCs and WRP. It's also a far more complicated mixture of people choosing sides at the moment. I think you're dead on with the current PCs acquiring a good chunk of the Liberals base and at least at the beginning of the election the WRP acquired a portion of people who didn't vote in the last election and/or finally found a more conservative option to the PCs.
There's still a large chunk of undecideds out there and it'll be interesting to see how it all pans out.